PROVING CAUSATION IN THE FAILURE TO DIAGNOSE BREAST CANCER CASE

By: Spencer Aronfeld and Patrice Talisman

Two million women in the U.S. are diagnosed with breast cancer every year.  Of that number, forty-six thousand women will die.  Nearly half the women diagnosed are under 50 years old.  

Most of the time, breast cancer is detected by mammogram.  Mammograms are x-rays that can see things that might be too small for a woman to feel.  About 1/3 of mammograms are misread and each year tens of thousands of women lose their lives due to negligent readings.  

Insurance company statistics show that breast cancer cases represent the greatest liability pay out of all negligence cases.[1]  So why are breast cancer cases so hard to win?  It’s hard enough to prove medical negligence in Florida.  First, you have to obtain an affidavit from a doctor.  Good luck finding one that will sign it.  Then, we are forced to go through a harassing Presuit Procedure that serves no purpose but to inform the defense of how strong or weak a case we have, and help them build their defense early on the huge battle called causation.   

Therefore, a medical malpractice case should not be valued on negligence or damage alone, since one must consider causation as equally important.  

What exactly does causation mean?  Simply stated: “did whatever negligence we are saying the doctor caused make some kind of difference in the outcome?”   

In breast cancer cases, this causation can be extremely difficult.  The key is to convince a jury that even though the defendant doctor did not cause the cancer, he did fail to diagnose or treat it properly.  

CAUSE OF ACTION

Failure to properly read a mammogram is the most common type of breast cancer litigation.  The defense is often that the mammogram was normal so no further study was required.  The problem is that even though mammograms are the “gold standard” of breast examinations, they are far from infallible.  Mammograms can find most invasive breast cancer, but they miss some. If 100 women under age 50 with invasive breast cancer have a mammogram for the first time, the cancer will show up on the mammogram in about 70 of these women. The other 30 women with breast cancer will have normal mammograms. Thus, mammograms can miss cancer, and having a normal mammogram does not rule out the possibility of having breast cancer.[2]   The proportion of cancers missed by mammograms is mostly influenced by the age of the woman. Mammograms miss about the same proportion of cancers among women of similar age regardless of family history.[3]

Nearly all breast cancer arises in the milk ducts of the breast. (DCIS)[4] When cancer cells grow and spread outside these ducts the cancer is considered to be invasive. DCIS lesions contain cells that appear to be cancer but not all such lesions behave as cancer, i.e. they will not spread outside the ducts and invade surrounding tissue nor will they be life-threatening.  Doctors cannot tell which DCIS lesions will become invasive cancer and which will not.

CLASSIC DEFENSES IN THE BREAST CANCER CASE 

1.       “THE CANCER WAS TOO FAR ADVANCED” DEFENSE:  

The most prominent defense is “so what”.  Even if we had diagnosed the cancer timely the outcome would still be the same.  The patient would have had a lumpectomy, mastectomy or died anyway.  And besides, you cannot prove otherwise.  If she would have needed the same radiation, chemo, surgery and loss of work, then there is no causation.  The defense is generally supported by the junk science of doubling time.  

DOUBLING TIME ARGUMENT-Tumor size and staging. 

The defense uses a model that generally discards prognostic information and assumes that tumor’s growth rate is stable.  Counter argument: This assumption usually discounts blood supply, hormones, and microscopic and macroscopic tumor size and lymph node involvement.  There are a number of articles that destroy this argument, especially the American Cancer Society that published an article stating that doubling time is essentially a “flawed concept”.  Sometimes, the doubling time calculations used by defense lead to absurd figures, suggesting that the cancer was present before the patient was even born.  In such a situation consider utilizing a Frye test challenge to disqualify the testimony.  Under the Frye standard, the expert testimony must be deduced from a scientific principle or discovery sufficiently established to have gained general acceptance in the particular field in which it belongs.  Holy Cross Hospital v. Marrone, 816, So.2d 1113 (4DCA 2002).   

LEAD TIME BIAS THEOREY 

The lead-time bias theory is based upon the theory that the patient was going to die from cancer sooner or later and that the defendant should not be criticized for his actions.  Counter argument: Cure rates based upon early diagnosis.  There are standard prognosis charts given the staging of cancer to determine statistical prognosis.  The charts take into consideration tumor size (T), Lymph Node Involvement (N), and the absence or presence of metastasis.   

a.     TUMOR 

TX:

    Tumor cannot be assessed.

T0:

No evidence of a tumor.

Tis:

Cancer may be lobular carcinoma in SITU, ductal carcinoma in situ DCIS.
T1: Tumor is 2 centimeters or less in diameter.
T2: Tumor is between 2 and 5 centimeters.
T3: Tumor is more than 5 centimeters.
T4: Tumor is any size and has spread to the lymph nodes.

   

b.     LYMPH NODES 

NX: Lymph nodes cannot be assessed.
N0: Cancer has not spread to lymph nodes.
NI: Cancer has spread to the movable lymph node under the arm on the same side of the breast.
N2: Cancer has spread to the lymph node and is fixed to another structure under the arm on the same side as the breast.
N3: Cancer has spread to the supraclavicular lymph node on the same side as the breast.

c.      METASTASIS 

MX:      Metastasis cannot be assessed.

MO:     No distant metastasis to other organs.

M1:     Distant metastasis to other organs.

 

VI.     Stage Grouping for Breast Cancer[5]                       

(T)          (N)          (M)         

Stage 0                   Tis          N0          M0    

LCIS and DCIS Carcinoma in Situ

Stage I                   T1          N0          M0    

Primary tumor is 2 cm. or less and no lymph nodes

Stage IIA                T0          N1          M0

Primary tumor is between 2 and 5 cm.s  and no lymph node or is less than 2 cms and has spread to lymph nodes

________________________________________________________________

Stage IIB                T2          N0          M0    

Tumor is between 2 and 5 cm with positive lymph nodes or the tumor is larger than 5 cm but no lymph nodes.

_________________________________________________________________

Stage IIIA               T0         N2          M0    

                             T1          N2          M0

                             T2          N2          M0

                             T3          N1N2      M0

Tumor size is greater than 5 cm. and/or has spread to lymph nodes that adhere to one or another or the surrounding tissue.

 

Stage IIIB               T4          N*          M0

                             T*          N3          M0

The cancer has spread to skin, chest wall or internal mammary lymph nodes beneath the breast.

_________________________________________________________________

Stage IV                 T*           N*          M1

The cancer has spread to distant sites, i.e. lungs, brain and or bone.

 

*Any node or any tumor size.

 

PROGNOSIS by STAGE 

Percentage chance for survival five years from diagnosis

          Stage                           Five Years

          In Situ                            100%

          Stage I                            98%

          Stage IIA                         88%

          Stage IIB                         76%

          Stage IIIA                       56%

          Stage IIIB                        49%

          Stage IV                          16% 

 

Educate the Expert 

In order for the expert oncologist to obtain an opinion that will survive cross-examination and directed verdict, you must provide him with ample ammunition.  Obtain all medical records that note or do not note any kind complaints or findings of breast lumps.  Provide her all mammograms (preferably originals) and operative notes and pathology reports.  The expert may also rely on other factors such as menopausal status, cell type, tumor aggressiveness, hormone receptivity, reaction to chemo, tumor biology and blood supply in reaching her opinion. 

 

Relevant Case Law: 

In order to obtain wrongful death damages one has to prove that “but for” the negligence the plaintiff would have more likely than not survived.  Tappan v. Florida Medical Center, Inc., 488 So.2d 630 (1986).  If one cannot prove the “but for” test, the Plaintiff may still have a cause of action under the survivor statute.  

Future damages based on increased risk of cancer recurrence and decreased chance of survival is not recoverable if expert witness testifies that patient is more likely than not to remain cancer free.  Merced v. Akhtar, 811 So.2d 702 (5DCA 2002). 

Gooding v. University Hospital, 445 So. 2d 1015 (1984) essentially holds that if the plaintiff did not have a chance of survival of at least 50% at the time of the doctor’s negligence will not have a cause of action for malpractice. Therefore, if the patient had less than 50% chance of survival at the time of negligence, and as a result of the negligence now has a lesser percentage, that patient can sue for loss of chance.  In order to prevail on this theory, the plaintiff must still prove by the greater weight of the evidence that the defendant’s conduct operated to decrease her chance for a more favorable outcome. 

 Mamographers have a duty to do more.  They should advise their patients of the mammogram limitations and for additional follow up. 



[1] Physician Insurer Ass’n of Am. National Study on Breast Cancer Claims, in 5(5) PRACTICE AND LIABILITY CONSUTANTS LOSS PREVENTION LETTER (1990).

[2] Kerlikowske KM, Grady DG, Barclay J, Sickles EA, Ernster V. Effect of age, breast density, and family history on the sensitivity of first screening mammography? JAMA 1996;276:33-38. Kerlikowske K, Barclay J. Outcomes of modern screening mammography. Mongraph Natl Cancer Inst 1997;22:105-111. Kerlikowske K, Carney P, Geller B, Mandelson MT, Taplin S, Malvin K, Ernster V, Urban N, Cutter G, Rosenberg R, Ballard-Barbash R. Performance of screening mammography among women with and without a first-degree relative with breast cancer. Ann Intern Med 2000;133:855-863. 

[3] Kerlikowske K, Grady D, Barclay J, Sickles EA, Ernster V. Effect of age, breast density, and family history on the sensitivity of first screening mammography. JAMA 1996;276:33-38.
Kerlikowske K, Carney P, Geller B, Mandelson MT, Taplin S, Malvin K, Ernster V, Urban N, Cutter G, Rosenberg R, Ballard-Barbash R. Performance of screening mammography among women with and without a first-degree relative with breast cancer. Ann Intern Med 2000;133:855-863

[4].

[5] American Joint Commission on Cancer